Turkey’s economy grew a powerful 11 percent in 2021 as expected, according to official data on Monday showing it bounced back strongly from the COVID-19 pandemic, though economists expect a slowdown this year after an inflation surge, Reuters reported.
In the fourth quarter gross domestic product (GDP) grew 9.1 percent year-on-year, just above forecast, expanding 1.5 percent from the previous quarter on a seasonally and calendar-adjusted basis, the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) said.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is implementing an economic plan that prioritizes growth, employment, investment and exports driven by a series of unorthodox interest rate cuts.
But his plan sparked a currency crisis and inflation of near 50 percent in January. It could also be derailed by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which could slash tourism revenues seen vital to reducing a gaping current account deficit.
The full-year data showed expansion of 21.1 percent in service activities and 20.2 percent in information and communication. Agriculture shrank 2.2 percent and construction activity declined 0.9 percent.
In a Reuters poll, GDP was expected to have expanded 11 percent last year as a whole, with forecasts ranging between 6 percent and 11.8 percent. Fourth quarter growth was predicted to be 9 percent.
Turkey was one of the few countries to expand in 2020, due largely to cheap loans following a series of rate cuts to counter the pandemic’s economic impact. Growth picked up pace again in 2021 as COVID-19 restrictions were largely lifted.
A currency crisis at the end of 2021, which resulted in the lira weakening 44 percent against the dollar over the year as a whole, has stunted growth expectations for 2022. Growth this year is expected to slow to 3.5 percent, according to the poll.